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Central and Western Tropical Atlantic (AL93): Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located about 750 miles east of the Leeward Islands has become better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward into the western tropical Atlantic, well north of the Leeward Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

 

Eastern Caribbean Sea (AL94): A tropical wave over the extreme northeastern Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds across much of the Windward and Leeward Islands. This wave is expected to move west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, spreading heavy rainfall and gusty winds into Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands tonight and Wednesday, and across the Dominican Republic beginning late Wednesday. The system is then expected to slow down and turn northwestward when it reaches the southwestern Atlantic in a couple of days. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development late this week, and a tropical depression is likely to form when the disturbance is in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Interests in the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

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